I have been fascinated with risk management (or better yet, management in the face of risk and uncertainty) throughout my career, beginning with my work on the potential for risk-sharing across emerging economies in the early 1970s (including an ill-fated attempt to spark an Andean Regional Investment Union); alternatives to general obligation (debt) financing for developing countries in the early 1980s; exchange risk management for firms (including the development of the concept of economic exposure); the concept of total risk management and risk-management as a core competency of firms in the 1990s; and the management of risk and complexity in major projects from the late 1990s through the present.
My research and teaching interests and publications lie in six related domains, centered on risk: 




Current focus:
· Strategies/capabilities of successful multinationals from middle countries with a special focus on how they convert the risk exposures of their home bases into global competitive advantages (see for example ("Risk Management as a Core Competence") and ("Mexican Multinationals: Insights from CEMEX").
· The relationship between risk, uncertainty, complexity and performance in major projects. (see for example "Evolving Strategy: Risk Management and the Shaping of Large Engineering Projects")
I am actively seeking examples in both domains and welcome contacts and comments.
Selected Publications
Global Strategy/ Risk Management
- "MIT Roundtable on Corporate Risk Management," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 2008 20(4).Click to pdf
- “Embracing Risk as a Core Competence: The Case of CEMEX” (with Rafael Lucea) Click to pdf
- “Risk and the Dynamics of Globalization,” in Birkinshaw, Ghoshal, Markides, Stopford, and Yip, eds., The Future of the Multinational Company (Chichester, England: Wiley, 2003). Click to pdf
- "Rediscovering Functions in the MNC: The Role of Expertise in Firms' Responses to Shifting Exchange Rates," in Bartlett, Doz, and Hedlund, eds., Managing Global Firms. (New York: Routledge, 1990). Click to pdf
Project Management/Risk
- “Evolving Strategy: Risk Management and the Shaping of Large Engineering Projects,” in Priemus, Flyvbjerg, and van Wee, eds., Decision-Making in Mega Projects: Cost Benefit Analysis, Planning, and Innovation. Transport Economics, Management and Policy, (Cheltenham UK, Northampton, MA, Edward Elgar, 2008) Click to pdf
- Strategic Management of Large Engineering Projects: Shaping Institutions, Risks, and Governance (MIT Press, 2001) with Roger Miller. Click to view the book cover
- “Understanding and Managing Risks in Large Engineering Projects,” International Journal of Project Management, 19 (2001) (with Roger Miller). Click to pdf
Global Strategy
- "Mexican Multinationals: Insights from CEMEX" in Ramamurti and Singh (eds.) Emerging Multinationals from Emerging Markets, (Cambridge University Press, 2008). (With Rafael Lucea) Click to pdf
- "Frameworks for Global Strategis Analysis," Journal of Strategic Management Education, 2003 1(1). Click to pdf
International Financial Management and Valuation
- “Real Asset Valuation: A Back-to-Basics Approach,” Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Spring 2008, pp. 46-65. (with David Laughton and Raul Guerrero). Abstract
- "Finance and International Business," in B. Toyne and D. Nigh, eds., International Business: An Emerging Vision, (Columbia, S.C., University of South Carolina Press, 1997).
- “Incorporating Country Risk in the Valuation of Offshore Projects," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance (Fall 1996). Click to pdf
- "Evaluating International Projects - An Adjusted Present Value Approach," in Capital Budgeting under Conditions of Uncertainty, R. Crum and F. Derkinderen, eds., (Amsterdam: Martinus Nijhoff, 1980). Click to pdf
- "World, Country, and Industry Relationships in Equity Returns: Implications for Risk Reduction through International Diversification, " Financial Analyst's Journal (January/February 1976). Winner of Graham and Dodd Award. Click to pdf
Emerging Markets
"Financial Intermediation Beyond the Debt Crisis, (Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics, 1985) with J. Williamson. Click here
“En Defensa de una Unión Latinoamericana de Inversiones,” El Trimestre Económico, XLII (1) (Enero-Marzo 1975). Click to pdf
"International Portfolio Diversification: A Multivariate Analysis for a Group of Latin American Countries, "Journal of Finance (June, 1973). Click to pdf